Trading Risk & Drawdown Calculator
Calculate per-trade expectancy, expected account balance, and worst-case loss streak. This helps you understand real copy trading risk.
How much capital is in your account.
What % of capital you risk per trade. Conservative: 0.5-1%.
Percentage of winning trades.
For every 1R risked, how many R reward? Conservative: 1.5-2.
For account trajectory simulation.
Per-trade Expectancy
+0.54R
POSITIVE, this setup is profitable long-term.
Worst-case Loss Streak
4
You can expect up to 4 consecutive losing trades (~5% probability).
Estimated Ending Balance
RM 8,568
After 100 trades at 1% risk.
Account Balance Projection
Account trajectory based on average expectancy per trade.
Loss-streak Scenarios
| Losses | Total Loss | Remaining | % Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 losses | -RM 149 | RM 4,851 | 2.97% |
| 5 losses | -RM 245 | RM 4,755 | 4.90% |
| 7 losses | -RM 340 | RM 4,660 | 6.79% |
| 10 losses | -RM 478 | RM 4,522 | 9.56% |
This simulation shows AVERAGE expectancy. Real trading has higher variance. Historical win rate / R:R does not guarantee future performance.
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